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Gaining the Elusive Edge

Looking for an Edge

A competitive edge over the rest is something everyone in trading is looking for. And whether you consider yourself just a beginner trader or a seasoned professional who has pretty much seen and heard it all, you are on this page and that means you are no exception – you are stilllooking for a solution that will give you the edge you need. Why haven’t you been able to find it before? 신용카드현금화

The answer to this important question lies in the nature of your attitude toward trading. Most of those down-on-their-luck traders, who statistically constitute some 80% of the total number of participants in any of the world’s markets, steadfastly persist in making one and the same mistake that prevents them from doing really profitable trading. What differs is the ways in which the mistake is reproduced by hundreds of thousands of traders worldwide. So what is this mistake? And what are the paths that you should not tread on while trying to become a successful trader?

Traders’ Delusion

The scourge of the majority of traders that accounts for most of their trading failures: is the delusion that a complete grasp of one of the available trading techniques is what will make them really happy. Alas, these traders are gravely mistaken, and it does not really matter which of the commonly accepted techniques they deal with. Take technical analysis: trading systems, charting, pattern recognition – everyone who has as much as dabbled in trading has used this technique since time immemorial. Can you really expect anyone to be able to invent something that will help you succeed here? And how can a tool used by everyone else be your edge? 신용카드현금화

Many traders hope that sooner or later they will be able to find and buy a silver-bullet IT solution to the problem and will not have to actually think any more. Can you think of anyone who has succeeded in doing so?

Similarly, neural network buffs have an unshakable belief in the ability of neural networks to solve most any kind of problem. Undoubtedly, neural networks are one of the most powerful tools ever as far as trading the market is concerned. However, they should be applied at the right time and place, and, for this very reason, can only be used when combined with technical analysis and other things.

Three Components of Success

The conclusion one can make is as follows: no standalone specific technique (or miraculously acquired software, for that matter) or its perfect command will ever be able to help you succeed. So, here is the first component of your success – a well-selected combination of several techniques. 신용카드현금화

However, you may say that combining two or more techniques is what many other traders do. Indeed, this combination as such will give you no edge either. For you to succeed, your combination of methods must include those that are not used by a majority of other traders. Thus, using unconventional or your own methods of trading is the second and equally important component of your success as a trader.

But there is also a third component that is gravely underestimated by most traders. This component is harmony. In other words, your combination must be fully in sync with your personality and risk preferences.

Supporting Trading Efforts

To have full and reliable support during all the legs of your journey to success, you will require a trading tool that will provide the best possible basis for your creative efforts. A far cry from the generic, Tradecision is designed to support the above approach to trading and is, correspondingly, geared both toward seasoned traders, who can appreciate the true value of this comprehensive trading software based on their experience, and toward less experienced or beginner traders, who realize that if trading the markets were about looking at curves in a chart from every possible angle, millionaires would constitute not less than a third of the world’s population.

If you are a thinking trader, we have the solution you need. We can be confident in saying that the capabilities provided by this solution for any of the tasks that you may be faced with while developing your winning strategy are built to support you in all your endeavors as best as possible.

 

 

Today, many centuries later, it’s pretty hard to say what turned that modest Italian lad, who often referred to himself as Bigollo, which, along with ‘wanderer,” can also mean “a good-for-nothing, a lay-about”, into a figure so much venerated by thousands and thousands of our contemporaries who concern themselves mostly with matters of purely practical nature. It is most likely to be owing to Leonardo Pisano’s (yes, that’s the guy’s real name) extensive travel alongside his father, a diplomat, who represented the Republic of Pisa in the small 12-th century world beyond its borders. It is exactly during these travels that the now renowned Fibonacci picked up the ancient Indian system of nine symbols and some other mathematical skills to further develop and formalize the teachings he was initiated into when he was past traveling and back home in 1200. 신용카드현금화

One of the Italian’s works, Libre Abaci, contained some practical tasks that were related to merchant trade, price calculations, and other problems that needed to be solved by the trading folk as a matter of their everyday activities.

An attempt to solve a sum about the propagation ability of rabbits gave birth to the system of magic numbers Leonardo Pisano Fibonacci is revered for today as much as he was almost eight centuries ago. A sequence whereby each number is the sum of the two numbers that precede it seems to be nature’s underlying principle behind life’s many events and phenomena.

Leonardo Fibonacci had also applied his life-inspired theory in conjunction with geometrical constructions. And strange as it is, the nuptials, assumingly performed by a pair of the creatures in the 12-th century, still help a quite a bit of folks to cash in. At least, they claim that to be so. So what are the chances in the Fibonacci game? 신용카드현금화

The Enigmatic Legacy

Nowadays, there are four types of trading tools that are based on Fibonacci’s discovery: arcs, fans, retracements, extensions and time zones. The lines created by these “Fibonacci studies” are believed to signal changes in trends as the prices draw near them. Today, Fibonacci studies are a well-known technical analysis method that has numerous followers. And, yes, this method does work rather often. However, the following simple question arises, answering which is key to trading profitably with Fibonacci studies: why, when and how does that happen? Answering this question will help us answer another not less important question: how much trust can one really put in the Fibonacci tools, for, after all, even the most ardent of the admirers will most certainly agree that the theory does not give a 100 % guarantee?

How It Works

Many traders believe that Fibonacci studies are a relatively easy to understand trading tool that is based on a simple, trenchantly defined principle and has been proven effective over the time by a large number of successful market players. It is a popular opinion that when correctly applied, the Fibonacci tools can successfully predict the market behavior in the 70% of cases, especially when a specific price is predicted. Others reckon that computations for multiple retracements are a real drag and after a while all you have and can use is a mess. The opponents of the method also believe it to be too time-consuming. But, probably, the greatest disadvantage of the Fibonacci method is the complexity of the results for reading and the ensuing inability of very many traders to really understand them. 신용카드현금화

Of course, the “nature’s Golden ratio,” discovered by the brainy 12-th century Italian, does hold true in many instances. There is no denying it either that as far as trading the market is concerned, the famous cosmic law oftentimes holds true as well. However, think of the number of those who are at least aware of the Fibonacci tools, let alone rely on them heavily. Used by a vast number of traders, the Fibonacci studies themselves become if not the governing law, then a very major factor influencing the market. Most of the time, the Fibonacci studies work due to the cascade effect, which arises because of the huge number of traders (up to 80 % of all the market players when the pivots are clear enough) drawing about the same kind of thing on their charts, thus artificially creating support and resistance levels. 신용카드현금화

The market is a complex system, and the realization of the true nature of Fibonacci studies as a “self-fulfilling prophecy” (well, at least to a great extent it is so) will help you use the tools more efficiently. How? Very simple -it will help you avoid any perilous over-reliance on them. Your trading will become more versatile and, thus, more efficient.

The Fibonacci method should be used in a combination with other methods, and the results derived should be considered just another point in favor of a decision if they coincide with the results, produced by the other methods in the combination.

And that’s when the magic will begin to work.

 

High expertise level in using technical indicators and analytical studies is the absolute “must have” for a long-term success in trading. Tradecision offers a selected collection of studies and indicators used by the majority of thinking and farsighted traders. 신용카드현금화

Alyuda Tradecision gives you the analytical power of:

Analytical studies, including chart pattern recognition
and auto-trends
60+ built-in most popular indicators, including RSI, PercentR, MACD, Moving average, Stochastic, Bollinger bands, Chaikin Oscillator.
Building the custom indicators using Indicator Builder.

Alyuda Tradecision lets you run a required study right from the toolbar just with one-click. And of course, each parameter of an indicator and a study can be easily customized to what you think works best. 신용카드현금화

Just run it! The following analytical studies, available with a single-click:

Auto-trends study

Pivot study

Single Day Patterns study

Reversal Patterns study

Elliott waves study

Fibonacci Clusters study

Use the most popular indicators.Work wonders using your own custom indicators!In addition to the standard set of indicators Alyuda Tradecision lets you create and improve your own custom indicators using Indicator Builder and the Alyuda Tradecision Formula Language. Since the traders’ technologies and technical analysis are constantly developing, so it is very important to use this tool to experiment and create up-to-date effective indicators. 신용카드현금화

Create custom studies with Tradecision Study Builder

This analysis tool enables you to improve your trading experience by means of creating a variety of custom studies.

With Study Builder you have the opportunity to create, save and load your custom studies over a chart using your own trading ideas that can be easily stated and further developed with the help of Alyuda Tradecision Formula Language.

With Study Builder you’ll be able to feature a particular market activity and/or specific chart pattern with the colored markers plotted over a chart. This enables you to watch the recurrence and consequences of some market conditions you want to note.

As soon as it is added to the Studies List, the study becomes part of your studies collection and you can easily edit and apply it to any chart. The number and diversity of studies you can build is virtually unlimited so you can build as many as you can invent.

Use Custom Time Series tool

Custom Time Series is a method that allows you to add external data for market calculations. The data should be stored on your local hard drive in a text file. You can use proprietary indicators, model outputs as trading strategy or market gauges.

Elliott Wave Analysis – a Useful Tool in Analyzing the Market Moves

Many traders use the Elliott concept to analyze trend changes. Tradecision offers them a special study that identifies Elliott wave and corrections. Even though some professional traders do not agree with some of Elliott’s findings, he definitely must be admired for the ideas he contributed to the trading theory, many of which are very useful. 신용카드현금화

Automatic Identification of Waves

Elliott wave analysis is one of Tradecision’s core analytical studies designed specifically for devoted Elliott Wave analysts. This study uses the simplified Elliott Wave theory, stating that a price usually makes a 5 wave pattern in one direction, followed (in the majority of cases) by a corrective pattern, and, finally, by a new 5 wave pattern in the opposite direction.

The Elliott wave study uses a special mathematical algorithm to resolve conflicting situations and identify waves and corrections as precisely as possible. The experts can fine-tune this algorithm. For example, it’s possible to specify a parameter that indicates the percentage for which Wave 4 can overlap Wave 1 before the Wave count is considered invalid.

The way the study can be presented, colors and style can be easily customized. 신용카드현금화

Custom Elliott Wave Toolbar

If you need to make a custom Elliott Wave-based analysis, you can use the Custom Elliott Wave toolbar to manually mark the wave numbers over a chart. Once added, it can be repositioned any where by clicking and dragging it to its new position.

A Brief Overview of the Elliott Theory

In 1939, Ralph Nelson Elliott published a pattern-recognition technique, which holds that the stock market follows a rhythm or pattern of five upward waves and three downward waves to form a complete cycle of eight waves. The three downward waves are referred to as a “correction” of the preceding five upward waves. 신용카드현금화

Wave is a movement in the market, either upwards or downwards. The size of the wave depends on the period of time that is being analyzed. Impulse Wave is a wave that moves in the direction of the main market trend. It subdivides into 5 smaller waves (1-2-3-4-5). Waves 1, 3, and 5 move in the direction of the main market trend. Waves 2 and 4 move against the main market trend.

Corrective Wave is a wave that moves in the direction opposite to the direction of the main market trend. It subdivides into 3 smaller waves (a-b-c). Waves a and c move against the main market trend. Wave b moves in the direction of the main market trend.

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Learn Tradecision features at your own pace using these self-guided, interactive demos. These demos are designed to introduce you Tradecision functionality and get you up and running quickly.
Tradecision Overview – Familiarizes you with Tradecision interface and capabilities. The demo provides general overviews and brief explanation of technical analysis tools incorporated in Tradecision.

Advanced Charting – Introduces you to charting capabilities of Tradecision. You will learn how to manage price charts and use drawing tools.

Analytical Studies – Highlights the key analytical studies provided by Tradecision. You will learn how to use Elliott Waves, Fibonacci clusters, auto-trends and chart patterns identification.

Neural Models – Provides you with a basic introduction to the Model Builder. You will learn how to create, train and analyze neural models. You will also see how to use neural predictions in trading strategies. Seoul Massage

Trading Strategies – Introduces you to the basics of the Strategy Builder. You will learn how your trading ideas may be implemented using Tradecision. You will also become familiar with the Simulations Manager and the Strategy Performance Report that let you test and analyze your strategies.

Indicators – Shows you how to insert, manage and format technical indicators. You will also learn how to build and manage custom indicators.

Money Management – Demonstrates Money Management Editor. You will learn how to test your money management approaches using the most popular formulas and methods predefined for you.

Optimization – Shows you how to optimize trading strategies and neural models. You will learn how to use optimization variables, analyze optimization report and find best inputs for neural predictions.

Risk Warning

1. Risks of Active Trading

2. Description and Certain Risks of Forex Trading

3. Risk Disclosure Statement for Futures

1. Risks of Active Trading

You should carefully consider the following points before engaging in an active trading strategy or what is sometimes called “day trading.” Active trading or day trading may be described as engaging in frequent purchase and sale transactions (at least several per week and, for some active traders, often numerous transactions per day) using systematic or strategic approaches.

• Active trading has a very high level of risk. Active trading generally is not appropriate for someone of limited resources or limited investment or trading experience or low-risk tolerance. You should be prepared to lose all of your funds that you invest in your trades. In particular, you should not fund this type of trading with retirement savings, student loans, second mortgages, emergency funds, funds set aside for purposes such as education or home ownership, or funds required to meet your living expenses. 신용카드현금화
• Be cautious of claims of large profits from active trading. You should be wary of advertisements or other statements that emphasize the potential for large profits from active trading. Active trading may result in few or no profits, and worse, may lead to large financial losses very quickly.
• Active trading requires sophisticated knowledge of securities markets. Active trading requires in-depth knowledge of the securities markets and of sophisticated and disciplined trading techniques and strategies. Also, you must compete with professional, licensed traders employed by securities firms and other knowledgeable, experienced and well-trained traders. You should have appropriate knowledge and experience before engaging in active trading.
• Active trading requires in-depth knowledge of your broker’s operations. An important part of executing active trading strategies is the quality and consistency of the order execution services you use. Whether you use the services of professional brokers or electronic systems, your success will be affected by their strengths and weaknesses and the methods and practices of the brokerage firm in executing trades. You should develop an intimate knowledge of these matters before you engage in active trading.
• Active trading may result in you paying large commissions. You pay commissions on each trade you make. The more actively you trade, the more commissions will increase your losses or reduce your profits.
• Active trading on margin or short selling may result in losses beyond your initial investment account amount. When you actively trade with borrowed funds, you can lose more than you originally placed at risk. A decline in the value of the securities that are purchased may require you to provide additional funds to avoid the forced sale of those securities or other securities or collateral in or for your account. Short selling as part of your trading strategy also may lead to large losses, because you may have to purchase a stock at a very high price in order to cover a short position.

In summary, active trading is not a game. It is not recommended for inexperienced traders or for persons who do not have sufficient resources and time to devote to their trading activities. Active trading is a serious commitment that should not be undertaken unless you are able to handle high risk and high stress well, and are willing to consistently adhere to objective and disciplined trading strategies and approaches. 신용카드현금화

2. Description and Certain Risks of Forex Trading

Before deciding to participate in the Forex market, you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. Most important, do not invest money you cannot afford to lose.

There is considerable exposure to risk in any foreign exchange transaction. Any transaction involving currencies involves risks including, but not limited to, the potential for changing political and/or economic conditions that may substantially affect the price or liquidity of a currency.

Moreover, the leveraged nature of FX trading means that any market movement will have an equally proportional effect on your deposited funds. This may work against you as well as for you. The possibility exists that you could sustain a total loss of initial margin funds and be required to deposit additional funds to maintain your position. If you fail to meet any margin call within the time prescribed, your position will be liquidated and you will be responsible for any resulting losses. Investors may lower their exposure to risk by employing risk-reducing strategies such as ‘stop-loss’ or ‘limit’ orders.

There are also risks associated with utilizing an Internet-based deal execution software application including, but not limited to, the failure of hardware and software.

3. Risk Disclosure Statement for Futures

Futures trading is speculative, high-risk and aimed at achieving short-term trading profits.

Effect of “Leverage” or “Gearing”
Transactions in futures carry a high degree of risk. The amount of initial margin is small relative to the value of the futures contract, meaning that transactions are heavily “leveraged” or “geared.” A relatively small market movement will have a proportionately larger impact on the funds you have deposited or will have to deposit: this may work against you as well as for you. You may sustain a total loss of initial margin funds and any additional funds deposited with the firm to maintain your position. If the market moves against your position or margin levels are increased, you may be called upon to pay substantial additional funds on short notice to maintain your position. If you fail to comply with a request for additional funds within the time prescribed, your position may be liquidated at a loss and you will be liable for any resulting deficit.

Risk-reducing orders or strategies
The placing of certain orders (e.g., “stop-loss” orders, where permitted, or “stop-limit” orders) which are intended to limit losses to certain amounts may not be effective because market conditions may make it impossible to execute such orders. Strategies using combinations of positions, such as “spread” and “straddle” positions, may be as risky as taking simple “long” or “short” positions.

Alyuda Research, one of the world’s leading providers of neural network-based state-of-the-art trading software, is proud to announce the launch of Tradecision 2.0, a new and greatly enhanced version of the company’s internationally acclaimed Tradecision system. 출장안마

Tradecision 2.0 enables traders to effectively control their trading activities by using a rule-based approach to trading.

The application makes it easy to limit losses by coding the trading rules using the powerful features of Improvian, a full-featured programming language. It is now possible to create custom functions, call DLL functions, and import trading techniques from EasyLanguage and MetaStock.

For creating advanced trading techniques, the new language allows traders to use variables, inputs, and skip words. Owing to its exceptionally powerful tool-set, Tradecision enables professional traders to automate their trading, while achieving the highest level of accuracy with new charting and reporting tools.

The key all-new features of Tradecision 2.0 are the following: 출장마사지

• Improvian, a new full-featured programming language.
• Optimization criterion for neural models.
• Noise removal, Markers, Templates.
• Superimposed indicators.
• MetaStock & EasyLanguage code translator.
• Function Builder and DLL Manager.
• Advanced summary performance report.

With the launch of Tradecision 2.0, Alyuda introduces a Lite Edition for end-of-day traders who need basic trading software capabilities, i.e. reliable data management, advanced charting and trading systems. The Lite Edition of the system does not support working with neural networks and developing custom techniques.

Price and Availability
Tradecision comes in four different versions:

• Lite: $498
• Standard: $698
• Professional: $1198
• Professional Real-Time: $ 1598

NeatScan market scanner is free with Tradecision 2.0.

About Alyuda Research
Alyuda Research is an internationally recognized provider of technical analysis and neural network software for enterprises and individuals. Founded in 2001, with representative offices and resellers in more than 20 countries, Alyuda demonstrates its commitment to innovation and dedication to customers by developing high-end solutions with an exceptional service level. The company’s products are used by such world-famous companies and organizations, as Reuters Financial Software, Boeing Satellite Systems, Citibank, J.P. Morgan Chase & Co., Pfizer, Bayer Polymers, and Stanford University . 출장마사지

About the Tradecision Application
Tradecision is a professional trading software application for charting, technical analysis and creation of trading systems. With Tradecision, traders can successfully combine Technical Analysis and Artificial Intelligence in any market and time frame.

# # #

For further information please contact:

Alex Grechanowski,
Communication Manager
(347) 416 6083
alex@alyuda.com
www.alyuda.com
www.lightyellow-weasel-530349.hostingersite.com

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The California-based trading and forecasting software vendor Alyuda Research, whose Tradecision trading software is rapidly becoming one of the leading products on the market, announces the release of a new, enhanced version of the application – Tradecision 3.0.

In the new version, the functionality of the system has been greatly expanded to include several easy-to-use valuable capabilities that allow the application to interface directly with brokers and execute trades automatically. 신용카드현금화

The Direct Trade Execution functionality includes integrated trading with Interactive Brokers, the Tradecision Trading API and a capability that allows the user to easily and quickly view a history of all past transactions for a specified period of time. In addition, the user can easily select a successful simulation or simulations, created and tested in the application’s Simulation Manager, and launch their automatic execution by means of the Direct Trade Execution functionality.

The newly implemented functionality is expected to further promote worldwide clients’ growing interest in the Tradecision software which has seen an unprecedented upsurge in popularity since the release of the previous version in May, 2006.

Price and Availability
Tradecision comes in three different versions:

• Standard: $698
• Professional: $1198
• Professional Real-Time: $ 1598

About Alyuda Research
Alyuda Research, is an internationally recognized provider of technical analysis and neural network software for enterprises and individuals. Founded in 2001, Alyuda demonstrates its commitment to innovation and a dedication to its customers by developing high-end solutions with an exceptionally high quality service. 신용카드현금화

About the Tradecision Application
Tradecision is a professional trading software application for charting, technical analysis and creation of trading systems. With Tradecision, traders can successfully combine technical analysis with artificial intelligence in any market, in any time frame.

# # #

For more information, please contact:

Alex Grechanowski
Communications Manager
(347) 416 6083
alex@alyuda.com
www.lightyellow-weasel-530349.hostingersite.com

back to Press Room

Support /Knowledge Emporium /Candlesticks Technique: A Panacea Or A Big Frog In A Small Pond?

Candlesticks Technique: A Panacea Or A Big Frog In A Small Pond? 출장마사지

By the Tradecision Development Team
Just like a vast number of mind-boggling and revolutionary inventions, Candlesticks originate from Japan, where they were initially used by rice traders yet in the 17-th century. This gives the technique an air of Oriental charm, invoking associations with precision, technical eminence, and some innate, hidden ancient wisdom, which, of course, can never fail. Candlesticks were first introduced as a technical analysis technique by Steven Nison in his acclaimed book Japanese Candlestick Charting Techniques. Did the guy do the right thing? – new version – as a technical analysis technique by the esteemed Steven Nison in his acclaimed book Japanese Candlestick Charting Techniques. Did the man do the right thing? We think he did, but let’s try to answer this question at a greater depth. 출장마사지

To create a candlestick pattern, you need a data set that will contain an open, a high, a low, and a close. A candlestick is formed by a “body” and two “tails” that grow out of this body. The four milestone points, passed by every trade, are located as follows:

In this pattern, the tails represent the whole range of prices, used during the trade, whilst the body represents the opening and closing prices for the selected period. If the closing price is higher than the opening one, the body will be colored blue or green; when the opposite is the case, the body will be colored red.

Basically, the Candlesticks pattern provides exactly the kind of information that you can observe on about any other kind of chart. The thing is definitely a lot more pleasant to look at than most of the other types of charts, but what’s the big deal in terms of its usefulness? 출장마사지

The most powerful advantage that this technique can give is, undoubtedly, the easily discernible respective relationship between the four points that make up the pattern. One look is enough to size up the underlying price action in terms of the two key relationships.

But, the most important advantage, offered by Candlesticks, is that there are a number of sure (well, most of the time, you know) signs of a market development occurring that no other technique can offer. So what is this bag of tricks?

For example, if the body of your candlestick is green and rather prolonged, this means that buyers are very active – a definitely bullish sign. Conversely, a long red candlestick body will be a sure bearish sign.

Another useful sign, offered by the Candlesticks technique is Doji – the situation, when the opening and closing prices coincide. The so called Dragonfly variation of Doji, whereby the prices coincide at the top of the trading range, serves as a sign of trend reversal and a forthcoming upward advance.

An equally useful sign is the so called Piercing Line, whereby the closing price point of the green bar is just slightly higher than the middle of the preceding red candlestick. This situation signals a forthcoming reversal of a downward trend. 출장마사지

The technique offers several more eloquently referred to pattern variations, whose names sound like the names of some mortally dangerous jab or a bizarre and potentially lethal posture from an Oriental martial system. But are these tricks really as dependable as the great ancient fighting legacy of the Orient?

Of course, the technique is not infallible and just like any other trading method is a bit on the dodgy side. One of the main drawbacks of the technique is that despite it clearly shows the relationship between the opening and closing prices, it does not allow seeing how volatile the price action actually was during the different stages of the trade. Actually, some significantly different scenarios can be possible. 출장마사지

All told, a great many traders reckon candlesticks to be the primary trading method in technical analysis. Our opinion would be that although Candlesticks are, certainly, a lot more reliable than most of the other technical analysis methods, one shouldn’t still rely entirely on this single method.